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而，与2025年相比，预计将有更多央行选择按兵不动。日本是主要例外，高盛预计其将继续渐进加息。　　5． AI狂热：市场领先宏观，波动与分化将加剧　　AI热潮仍将是2026年的市场焦点。好消息是，AI的生产力效益可能才刚刚开始显现，相关的资本支出热潮有望延续。但坏消息是，市场估值已大幅领先于宏观基本面。　　高盛指出，尽管整体公司资产负债表依然强劲，但数据中心的建设越来越依赖债务融资，这可能会让信用市

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